Predictions 2009

John Battelle's Searchblog

It will also struggle to find an answer to the question of how it diversifies its revenue in 2009. Despite #3 above, Google stock will soar in by Q3-4 of 2009 , mainly because demand will pick up, and when demand picks up, it's like rain on a field of newly sown wheat. Tied to #3 above, Microsoft will gain at least five points of search share in 2009, perhaps as much as 10. Related: 2008 Predictions. 2008 How I Did. 2007 Predictions. 2007 How I Did. 2006 Predictions.

Web 2 2009

John Battelle's Searchblog

Literally some of the best work I've ever been involved with, yet again, six years in. Many of you asked for the playlist I used for the show (coverage best seen at #w2s , lots of news happened at the event, including Sergey Brin stopping by). Here's a screen shot of my playlist. I'll make it live soon. And yes, btw, the songs and their timing with sessions often mean something. But I can't really get into what and why right now

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Predictions 2009: How Did I Do?

John Battelle's Searchblog

Related: 2009 Predictions. First of all, it's either silly or sublime that when you type (or maybe, given Google now personalizes all results, when *I* type) " predictions 2009 " into Google my predictions from a year ago are ranked first. Of course, when you say " predictions for 2009 " it's second. Welcome to my review of how I did in my predictions for 2009. Google has become a significant brand advertiser in 2009, in fact, it's a client of FM's in the brand space.

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2009 IAPP Privacy Academy

Hunton Privacy

Don’t miss the 2009 International Association of Privacy Professionals’ (“IAPP”) Privacy Academy in Boston, MA, September 16-18th. The Academy provides various program topics on operational privacy and technology, as well as advanced breakout sessions focusing on today’s cutting edge privacy issues.

2009 Intranet Innovation Awards

ChiefTech

Alex Mancheste r nudged me the other day and asked if I could help get the word out about Step Two Design's 2009 Intranet Innovation Awards. My, doesn't time fly. Now in its third year, the aim of the awards are to: "celebrate new ideas and innovative approaches to the design and delivery of intranets. The goal is to find these ideas (whether large or small), and to share them with the wider community." Since this is an Aussie initiative, I'm more than happy to spread the word.

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These Are A Few of My Favorite Posts - 2009 Edition

John Battelle's Searchblog

Predictions 2009 (drew the biggest single day crowd ever for Searchblog). Predictions 2009: How Did I Do? Going through the past year in posts, I realized a few things. First, as with 2008 , I wrote quite a lot off site. Second, I need way better navigation for this site, as it's got six years of posts in it now, and even I can't remember what the hell I said half the time. And third, I want to write more. A lot more. I'm expecting that will happen in 2010.

Mindtouch 2009: Collaborative Mashup Switchboard

Collaboration 2.0

Mindtouch announce today a new message bus that enables bi-directional notifications when changes are made both within MindTouch 2009 or to the many applications that users plug into or connect to with MindTouch 2009. Examples of these could be Web services, enterprise systems, databases, office productivity applications and more. This bi-directional messaging and publishing capability pushes out

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Observations from E2EF 2009

ChiefTech

I was busy busy twittering on the day, but realised I had neglected to post anything post-conference about Ross' Enterprise 2.0 Executive Forum a few weeks ago. So what did I learn? Firstly, my main take away was that I noticed a big change this year from people asking what is Enterprise 2.0 to how do I do Enterprise 2.0.

A Selection of 2009 Collaboration Posts

Collaboration 2.0

Here’s a selection of links to posts I’ve written in 2009 which I feel are worth rereading… Extraordinary Collaboration Delusions and the Madness of Crowds …Comparing the ‘Idiocy of Crowds’ and groupthink to the South Sea Bubble & Madoff financial speculation disasters.

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Penner Ash Willamette Pinot 2009

John Battelle's Searchblog

Penner-Ash Willamette Valley 2009 Pinot drank VERY well last week. Photos

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HITB Malaysia 2009 and sandboxing

Scary Beasts Security

No time for details at the moment, but I'm just back from HITB Malaysia and a great time was had by all! The hospitality and warmth of the organizing crew surpassed anything I've ever encountered before. I presented with my colleague Julien Tinnes. See awesome blog: [link] We presented on various intriguing aspects of sandboxing on Linux, covering vsftpd and Chromium as test cases.

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Got 2020 Clear Vision?

Daradiction

Early 2009 I stopped drinking alcohol and putting damaging substances into my body and this has been given me remarking clarity and performance benefits. Folks over estimate what they can do in a year and under estimate what they can do in ten. No doubt you’d agree how quickly this past decade has flown by. My one regret is that I wasn’t nearly as intentional about the effects I wanted to create. I didn’t find my North Star (community empowerment) until quite recently.

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FTC Delays Enforcement of the Red Flags Rule until August 1, 2009

Hunton Privacy

The previous compliance date was May 1, 2009, which was an extension from the original deadline of November 1, 2008. " On March 20, 2009, the FTC published the Red Flags Rule Compliance Guide to assist organizations that must comply with the Red Flags Rule. At the eleventh hour, the Federal Trade Commission announced that it will once again delay enforcement of the Red Flags Rule.

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Eric Schmidt on 2009

John Battelle's Searchblog

Given the economic collapse, 2009 is widely seen as a lost year, it seems. But Google CEO Eric Schmidt's an optimist, here's his take on the year. Google Blog write up here

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2009 International Conference on Cross Border Data Flows, Data Protection and Privacy

Hunton Privacy

Every year since 2005, the United States, the European Commission and the Article 29 Working Party on Data Protection meet to review the latest developments in the U.S.-EU EU Safe Harbor Framework, as well as changes in privacy compliance, information security and data protection.

English's Millionth Word: Web 2.0

John Battelle's Searchblog

For the past few days I've been focused on a final draft of an essay, co-authored with Tim O'Reilly, focusing on the theme of this year's Web 2.0 Summit. It's rewarding work, reminiscent of the early days of Wired, when I'd regularly edit or write long form pieces focusing on big ideas and the future, but grounded in real world examples from today.

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Apple: Is The Worm Turning?

John Battelle's Searchblog

Early this year, well, January 1, to be exact, I made this prediction about our friends at Apple: Apple will see a significant reversal of recent fortunes. I sense this will happen for a number of reasons. but I think the main one will be brand related - a brand based on being cooler than the other guy simply does not scale past a certain point. I sense Apple has hit that point. Now, "brand" is a very tricky concept. A brand lives or dies by how others speak of it.

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All Business Starts With A Community

John Battelle's Searchblog

Today I was on my way back to our house after dropping my kids off to camp, and I decided to stop by a local cafe for a quick coffee-n-chat. Now, in August, "our house" means a century-old family place on an island, an island that rather pugnaciously refuses to allow large chain stores to set down roots. So it's fair to say that this island is sort of a Galapagos of small business. There are no Mickey D's, no Safeways, and no Starbucks.

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CitySourced on NBC

Daradiction

Yep that’s Kurty D showing you how to keep you community clean. C’mon! Click here to view the embedded video

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Early July Data: Twitter Growing, but Slowly

John Battelle's Searchblog

A month ago I posted that Twitter was back to strong growth after a weak month of June. I just took at look at the numbers for August, which you can see in the screen shot here (I'm using Compete's data , but you can check out Quantcast , which is a "rough estimate" and has not posted any July data yet.). Twitter is still growing, according to this data, but not at the breakneck pace of the past. Compete has it at 23.2mm US uniques, up just 1.25% from the month before.

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'Open Enterprise 2009' Winners One Year On

Collaboration 2.0

Stowe Boyd and I awarded the ‘Open Enterprise 2009‘ award to Booz Allan Hamilton for their ‘Hello’ environment at the Boston Enterprise 2.0 Conference a year ago, and I caught up with Megan Murray of the BAH team one year on to see how their environment was progressing at this year’s Boston event. While it’s relatively

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End of Mainstream Support for Dynamics AX 2009 and AX 2012

Ascent Innovations

End of Mainstream Support for Dynamics AX 2009 and AX 2012. Microsoft is ending the mainstream support for Dynamics AX 2009, AX 2012 FP and R2 on October 9th, 2018. Dynamics AX 2009. –. Extended Support will expire as well, and the end dates are: Dynamics AX 2009. –. Yes, you can still add user licenses to both Dynamics AX 2009 and Dynamics AX 2012. Dynamics AX products are normally supported for 10 years from the release. What are the end dates?

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As We Head Toward A More Conversational Interface, Can AdWords Keep Up?

John Battelle's Searchblog

Gian Fulgoni, Executive Chair of Comscore, has an interesting analysis of what's happening in paid search lately. It's germane to my earlier posts about paid search share sliding and Google's decision to allow trademark ad bidding.

Caffeine: A Fundamental Rewrite of Google, A Shift to Real Time

John Battelle's Searchblog

Matt Cutts points to a video interview (embedded above) on Google's Caffeine infrastructure update. It's a pretty fundamentally big change" Matt says. What I'd like to know is why and in response to what changes on the web. Of course, the major changes in how the web works are clear: Real Time Search. In this post (and/or this one ) I said: In short, Google represents a remarkable achievement: the ability to query the static web.

10 Things You Need for Your Social Media Road Trip

Daradiction

Written by Jolie O’Dell. By the way, our RoadTwip panel just got selected by SxSW Interactive. Ever since two friends and I staged a two-week jaunt around the Midwest to attend a great new conference earlier this year, I’ve been more and more aware of a growing trend: the social media road trip.

Tell Me This Ain't Facebook, Er, Twitter, Er, Both.

John Battelle's Searchblog

Google's new iGoogle upgrades smacks of Facebook. Read this: we're excited to introduce social gadgets for iGoogle. Social gadgets let you share, collaborate and play games with your friends on top of all the things you can already do on your homepage. The 19 social gadgets we're debuting today offer many new ways to make your homepage more useful and fun. If you're a gaming fanatic, compete with others in Who has the biggest brain?

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Google Search Share Declines

John Battelle's Searchblog

It will also struggle to find an answer to the question of how it diversifies its revenue in 2009. Back when I predicted this in January , I recall worrying I was calling it too early. Now it appears the timing was about right. From Mashable : while Google grew from June to July, it still lost market share to its competitors – from 66.1% in June to 64.8% in July, a 1.3 percentage point drop. From my prediction: 3. Google will see search share decline significantly for the first time ever.

I Blew It On Facebook

John Battelle's Searchblog

Well, I knew this day would come. I've been ignoring friend requests on Facebook for a month or so because, well, my longstanding friending policy has backfired, and I'm now at my "friend limit" of 5000 (well, 5003, to be exact). This limit has been much discussed, and I'm not sure I can add anything to what has become a timeworn dialog. It is what it is, and to be honest, I think 5000, upon reflection, is way too high a number. It probably should be around 500, if not 256 or something.

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Twitter = YouTube.

John Battelle's Searchblog

Is Battelle crazy? Hear me out. Think back when YouTube was growing like a weed, and Google snapped it up. Most folks (including me) saw this as Google "getting into the video business," and sure, that in fact was one part of the equation. But as we all know, making money from consumer driven video ain't a cakewalk, and hosting that video is really, really expensive. So why did Google really buy YouTube?

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Can Someone Please Do Annual Search Lists on Jan 1?

John Battelle's Searchblog

I never did understand why everyone releases the "top Searches of 2009" with one month yet to go. It's as if nothing happens in December. Anyway, here are the sites: Bing. Yahoo. Google

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Just Give Me One Modal Dialog.

John Battelle's Searchblog

Back when I was reporting the book, I remember a meeting I had with Gary Flake , then the lead technologist at Overture, now a Fellow at Microsoft running Live Labs, responsible for stuff like Seadragon, Photosynth, and now, Pivot, an experimental approach to large datasets that attempts to rethink some fundamental approaches to what we understand search to be today. Back in 2004, I asked him why we couldn't move forward in search interface, which struck me as a major issue (and still does).

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Social Media Is Important, The Video

John Battelle's Searchblog

Hey, I really like the soundtrack. And it's f*ing true as well. My beef with this is this simple statement, about 3:42 in. Social Media isn't a fad, it's a fundamental shift in how we communicate.". True, to a point. What it really is, is the release of how we already communicate, but now at scale. It's not a shift in *how* we communicate, it's a step function in our *ability* to communicate. There's an important difference there.

This is the Facebook Step We Expected: Default Public

John Battelle's Searchblog

This is a big deal. Facebook is taking the final step to become more like Twitter. Thanks to RWW for pointing it out. I've been traveling and had not had a chance to read the new privacy settings, which state: we'll be recommending that you make available to everyone a limited set of information that helps people find and connect with you, information like "About Me" and where you work or go to school.

I Have A Kindle Now. But I Won't Read A Book On It. Discuss.

John Battelle's Searchblog

I had a birthday a few weeks ago and to mark the occasion, my wife bought me a Kindle. OK, yes, I'm a pretty digital guy, and despite writing my 1992 Berkeley Master's thesis on "The Future of Print in the Age of Interactivity" - a thesis that celebrated the rise of a digital tablet fed by a world wide network - I didn't run out and buy a Kindle as soon as they came on the market.

David Kralik – A World that Works

Daradiction

My pal David Kralik has a vison of a world that works, and offers practical, common sense ‘trans-party’ solutions. This is part of the “Google Talks&# Series that’s interesting to follow. David is lots of fun to hang out with too. He’s a man on a mission. Worth the hour. Click here to view the embedded video

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Why integrity doesn’t matter any more that gravity.

Daradiction

This is the best way to describe my experience in 2009, which when I look back on my life will no doubt be the year I came to terms with what it really means to be honest and real. Integrity schmegrity. Consider the baseline of diminishing integrity phenomena. Most folks don’t play at 100% integrity, and that’s why they get less that optimal results. Consider that the difference between 100% and 99% integrity is literally vaster and deeper than the Grand Canyon.

Darrell Smith – Pedal Steel Vibe

Daradiction

Darrell Smith is one of my favorite people on the planet, plus he’s playing one of my all time favorite tones (something he says he made for me, but I hardly believe him). What I love about Darrell is he brings out the best version of me. Truly a hero of mine, and so I’m honored to call him a friend. So take a listen and dive in to some deep tone and check out what the M13 box can do. Click here to view the embedded video.

Do you have any examples of where any sort of civic engagement outreach/campaigns affected legislation?

Daradiction

Hey gang- Huge BIG favor that might be really easy for you. Do you have any examples of where any sort of civic engagement outreach/campaign affected legislation? I’m looking for more granular examples than a response like “the civil rights movement&# , but more so examples of specific petitions or letter writing campaigns that might have contributed to getting some sort of legislation passed.

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Atari_Democracy

Daradiction

So check out this excerpt in a recent Rolling Stone article on Al Gore, and I’m not necessarily a fan or advocating, but read on… So we’re starting to see the kind of digital democracy you envisioned when you entered Congress as an “Atari Democrat&# ? The Internet is now getting close to the stage where it will be possible for it to eclipse television, making it possible for people to really participate in representative democracy. But we’re not there yet.

Don't Be A Fan Platform Hater

John Battelle's Searchblog

Regarding this story in the New York Times : With Bloggers in the Bleachers, Leagues See a Threat to Profits. and related, my post on " Don't Be a Player Platform Hater "): I have such a rant in me on this topic but I simply cannot write it now, I'm way to Supposed to Be On Vacation. But suffice to say, you can do two things if you "own content" - like, say, football games (yep, that's content). One, you can cut it all off and hoard it. Or two, you can be the oxygen in the ecosystem.

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